Editor’s Note: The National Interest reporter-intern Dimitri A. Simes spoke with Rep. Dana Rohrabacher in his office. The following is a lightly edited transcript of their conversation:
NI: Let’s start off with yesterday’s special elections. Obviously, the GOP won some major victories in Georgia and South Carolina. The one in Georgia was especially under scrutiny because many people viewed it as a referendum on President Trump. How much clout does Trump have on Capitol Hill after these victories?
DR: I think his leverage has gone up now that people know that we can expect that at least Republicans in Republican seats will be reelected. I think this has given confidence to those people. There were a lot of Republicans worried that, “Oh my gosh, this Republican seat will be lost because of Trump!” We’ll see how this will affect people in competitive seats, but I think it ought to give Trump more leverage.
NI: In addition to special elections, another important development has been the increase in tensions between the United States and Russia. There was the United States shooting down a Syrian government plane in Syria, several tense encounters between U.S. planes and Russian planes in the Baltics. What is your general assessment of the state of U.S.-Russian relations right now?
DR: Right now, the Russian-American relations are as low as they’ve been since the end of the Cold War, and actually probably even lower than some of the latter portions of the Cold War. I think that there are faults on both sides, but I think there is a strong desire among a significant number of people on the left and right to have Russia as an enemy. Some of them, I believe, want to go to war with Russia. There are others who are just honestly concerned and have been caught up in what I consider to be a blizzard of false analysis. Some of it is true, but it is always done with a much more sinister tone than is necessarily required in those instances. We end up with a hostility that doesn’t need to exist. When you have planes in an area with the Russians on one side and us on the other, that is a very dangerous situation and we should not take it lightly.
NI: Since you brought up the point about the bipartisan nature of the move towards a tougher stance towards Russia, your colleagues in the Senate last week overwhelmingly passed legislation to institute additional sanctions against Russia. What are the prospects of similar legislation being passed in the in House in the near future?
DR: I think the chances are highly likely that this will happen. It is also highly likely that I will be one of the few people to aggressively oppose it.
NI: What sort of actions could we expect from those who are opposing it?
DR: Well, there’s very few people opposing it. You could expect people opposing it to try and get some friends and convince people that we’re right. I think busting through this blizzard of falsehood and sinister twisting of facts is going to be very difficult. But, the American people are turning around right now on this issue. A lot of people in the past, mainly Republicans, have been relying on the anti-Communism. With the fall of the Berlin Wall and during that whole time period, Communism disintegrated. It’s a different force. It’s not a democratic force in Russia, but it’s not a Communist force. Those people on the right wing will play a major role, however, some on the right are starting to say, “Hey this isn’t Communism anymore. These radical Muslims are our real enemy.” There’s also a lot of people on the left beginning to realize that this is nothing but an orchestrated, unrelenting attempt to make America and Russia enemies rather than cooperators. You know, you can cooperate with people when you have differences, different goals in mind, but you can find areas of cooperation. What we have now is a goal to not have cooperation and to destroy any attempt at trying to establish better ties. That’s what this bill in the Senate is all about. What we are going to see is a manifestation of the fact that you people on the left, who are traditionally antiwar, like Oliver Stone, and on the right, who realize that this isn’t Communism anymore. More and more of them are going to start emerging and saying, “No, no. This is not Communism. My vision is now a lot clearer.”
NI: What’s the current consensus in the House regarding the existing Russia sanctions. Do your colleagues feel that they have been effective in deterring Russia?
DR: I don’t see how they could possibly think that, but I don’t know. Maybe they do. Maybe they’re deluding themselves, but I don’t think there was ever a plan for Russia to invade the Baltics, which we heard over and over again. I also don’t believe there was ever a Russian plan to invade the rest of Ukraine, which I heard over and over again. They may think that America has been making lots of noise, sending NATO people into Ukraine, training all these Ukrainians, promising more tanks for Europe next year, and sending these B-52 bombers aimed at Russia in mock nuclear attacks, and that maybe these things had an impact on Russia. I don’t think so. I don’t think Russia ever intended to do those bad things. Putin may be an authoritarian, but he’s not stupid. He can’t even afford the modest things he’s doing now.
NI: If President Trump wants to pursue a more cooperative relationship with Russia, what would he have to do to gain the support of House Republicans in this endeavor?